The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported on Dtc.22 a build in crude oil inventories of 2.70 million barrels for the week ending December 18. Settlement prices on instruments without open interest or volume are provided for web users only and are not published on Market Data Platform (MDP). Prices will likely stabilize down the line. 619. What about the scrubber guys? Fig 1 Expected price difference in high sulphur fuels and IMO 2020 complaint fuels Difference in forward prices between 0.1% compliant gasoil (MGO) and HSFO. Ship operators have a choice of 2020 compliance options: 1. West Texas Intermediate for February delivery decreased by $0.95 to $47.02 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Capital Economics said the OPEC+ agreement earlier this month to increase oil supply will mean that downturns in hydrocarbon sectors across the GCC states will start to ease, so Brent crude will reach $60 per barrel by the end of next year and the Gulf economies will start to benefit from higher prices. 7 56 4 minutes read. We also expect enforcement to become increasingly robust after 2020 as best practices are shared and fines are levied and publicized. Firstly, some of the predicted reduction in HSFO production from existing refineries actually became reality and so a little less HSFO was on the market. Will this all continue in 2019? In the meantime, traders betting on this drop-then-rise (called a contango) may seek to physically store HSFO and sell it in the future The graph shows the price of HSFO and 0.5% low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO). The Brent benchmark traded at the premium of $3.06 to WTI. Index: IFO 380: VLSFO 0.5: MGO 0.1: World [? In order to compete, 3.5% HSFO will need to be priced at parity with LNG and coal which results in a price of approximately $220/mt. in Daily Bunker Report,International Shipping News All will feature Anemoi Marine Technologies rotor sails. 2020 HSFO-MGO price differential likely to rise, but scrubber case still uncertain Posted on 2018-10-05 Author BlueOceanMag Comment(0) BunkerEx has investigated where existing 3.5% HSFO bunker demand will go, how this will be replaced and what this means for prices. Price difference between VLFSO HSFO … MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, VLSFO and MGO in the main world hubs) rose slightly on Dec.22: 380 HSFO … To a certain degree it likely will and this creates some interesting potential for profitable HSFO business. Brent for February settlement declined by $0.83 to $50.08 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Secondly, inspired by a combination of OPEC cutbacks and Iranian sanctions we suddenly saw a increased need for HSFO in certain parts of the world. Singapore: HSFO Sales Rally on Scrubber-related Demand. Demand for the shipping industry’s main fuel is widely expected to collapse like never before in 2020, so it might come as a surprise that its value is soaring. The average sale price of a home in Seattle was $740K last month, up 10.8% since last year. Maurice Elfrink "will pursue his career elsewhere". Scrubber Installs Plummet as Low Fuel Prices Negate Cost Advantages July 22, 2020; ... HSFO could account for 20% of global marine fuel demand by the end of … View Quotes. The price spread between LSFO and HSFO, a useful measure to calculate how much money will be saved on bunker costs, has narrowed significantly since January making scrubbers a less lucrative option to comply with IMO 2020. capabilities (the ability to further refine HSFO), demand and prices of HSFO are expected to rise again. The average sale price per square foot in Seattle is $465, up 7.0% since last year. HSFO suddenly became very scarce in the second half of 2018 driven by a unique (?) Peak price impacts are expected in the first half of 2020, before differentials ease somewhat later in the year. by Adrian Tolson, BLUE Insight Lead, BLUE Communications. Those price changes began in the third quarter of 2019 and accelerated in the fourth quarter. World 3 [? Webinar: How State Agencies Can Budget For A Recession. Prices for marine gasoil (MGO) and the new blended fuels are expected to rise sharply while HSFO prices will fall. HSFo is a nonprofit organization of state human services finance officers responsible for the fiscal administration of state/federal human service programs and grants. To a certain degree it likely will and this creates some interesting potential for profitable HSFO business as we start to feel the disruption of 2020. ]: Subscribe for a year or order a 1-month trial. Click here. While HSFO is not as profitable as crude, complex refineries in the USGC shift away from sour crude to HSFO if the discounts become wide enough to offset the decreased efficiency and output. As we rapidly approach the demise, or partial demise, of HSFO as bunkers, the HSFO bunker price is suddenly rising in value against both crude oil and against diesel prices. August 20, 2019. View Quotes. Vessel controlled by Indonesian interests but reason for detention unclear. 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European HSFO values near 2019 prices, bucking expectations Sep 8 The spread between physical prices for 3.5%S FOB Rotterdam barges in 2019 and 2020 reached as close as $4/mt year on year on Sept. 1, assessed at $257/mt, before the spread widened again. Adrian Tolson, Senior Partner at 20|20 Marine Energy. Homes in Seattle receive 4 offers on average and sell in around 9 days. Information on registered facilities is … VLSFO fuel remains moderately overpriced in all selected ports except of Singapore, where VLSFO was undervalued by 5 USD. On this date, 380 CST HSFO was assessed by Platts at $222.14—a premium of just $70.71/t, which is well down on the $326/t premium seen at the start of the year. VLSFO – USD/MT – 418.00 (-2.00) 2020 HSFO-MGO price differential likely to rise, but scrubber case still uncertain. In particular, Saudi Arabia made the call to shift much of its significant power generation capacity from using its own crude oil to imported HSFO, creating an unexpected demand for HSFO. Oil price information Last update: 2020-12-21 Nr. The price differential between IMO 2020-compliant fuel and HSFO will be large. Massive HSFO price drop So, despite the initial investments in refineries and scrubbers, and some non-compliance, a residue surplus of about 400,000 barrels per day is expected in 2020. View full details on OilPrice.com. The price spread between LSFO and HSFO at Singapore, a key bunker hub, plunged from a high of around $296/t in January to just around $60/t in August. Gasoil for January delivery gained $3.75 – $418.00. High-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) can also be used in some power plants, but the scrubber-fitted fleet still generate the bulk of demand for HSFO. The Monjasa Server will be used both for ship-to-ship bunker operations in the region and for transporting cargoes from Fujairah to Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Sharjah. marine gas oil, diesel, blends of HSFO and low sulphur distillate, low-sulphur residual fuel oil or hybrid fuels 2. 1: Rotterdam/Antwerp: $ 300: $ 375 2020 HSFO-MGO price differential likely to rise, but scrubber case still uncertain. When oil is scarce prices go up and some of the regional issues in locations, like NY, where even more exaggerated. ... At the same time, the drastic drop in demand for HSFO will likely cause prices for HSFO to drop– IEA predicts a 57% drop in demand. Commodity player denies involvement following civil lawsuit lodged in Brazil. August 20, 2019. Market sources also noted that the value of crude in 2020 would be a key factor determining the price of HSFO. After the UK government warned that a new variant of the virus seemed to be spreading much faster than previous kinds, India, Pakistan, Russia, Jordan and Hong Kong joined European countries in suspending travel from Britain, and Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Oman closed their borders completely. Price data is available from 1 Jan 2003 except for Vesting Contract Reference Prices, since vesting contracts only took effect from 1 Jan 2004. ]: Subscribe for a year or order a 1-month trial. Average IFO380 price across the four major global bunkering ports have fallen 21% from $401.50/mt on August 2 to $314.50/mt on Friday. Its not clear whether this was driven by consolidation of HSFO and Diesel trading books, poor financial performance in the first half of 2018 (and 2017), the impending IMO 2020 reduction in HSFO trading activity or a series of horrendous quality claims in the US Gulf area, but activity was down and HSFO liquidity suffered in the market. IMO 2020 will be a big deal. 2020 HSFO-MGO price differential likely to rise, but scrubber case still uncertain Posted on 2018-10-05 Author BlueOceanMag Comment(0) BunkerEx has investigated where existing 3.5% HSFO bunker demand will go, how this will be replaced and what this means for prices. About 40%-65% of their vessels are outfitted with IMO 2020-compliant marine exhaust scrubbers. Switch away from HSFO to low-sulphur fuels e.g. 1M 1YR Max. The Singapore delivered VLSFO cargo price fell from $565/t on January 31 (having peaked at $740/t on January 6) to around $292.85/t on June 16. ]: Subscribe for a year or order a 1-month trial. What's Up with the HSFO Bunker Prices and Why Are All the Scrubber Guys Getting Worried? Thursday’s price of $311.50/mt is the lowest the key benchmark has been since August 31, 2017. Click here. combination of factors. Average IFO380 price across the four major global bunkering ports have fallen 21% from $401.50/mt on August 2 to $314.50/mt on Friday. Global HSFO prices hit two-year lows this month as IMO 2020 rule is nearing. European HSFO values near 2019 prices, bucking expectations Sep 8 The spread between physical prices for 3.5%S FOB Rotterdam barges in 2019 and 2020 reached as close as $4/mt year on year on Sept. 1, assessed at $257/mt, before the spread widened again. 2019 could be a good year for HSFO traders and suppliers? Source: MABUX, MABUX: Bunker market this morning, Dec.23, 2020, Online Daily Newspaper on Hellenic and International Shipping, This site uses cookies to enhance your user experience. Will this all continue in 2019? Global HSFO prices hit two-year lows this month as IMO 2020 rule is nearing. Share Copy. Unscrupulous vessel operators will be tempted to cheat and use non-compliant marine fuel. Of the 477,400 tonnes burned monthly by the three lines, about 278,500 tonnes is HSFO. Index: IFO 380: VLSFO 0.5: MGO 0.1: World [? MGO LS, in turn, was undervalued in all ports ranging from minus 17 USD to minus 40 USD, with the exception of Houston (was overcharged by 23 USD). Earlier this month, OPEC+ members agreed to start raising their combined oil production by half a million barrels daily from next month, to continue until April. Recent weeks have given rise to a surprising phenomenon in many of the world's major bunkering locations. Scrubber Installs Plummet as Low Fuel Prices Negate Cost Advantages July 22, 2020; ... HSFO could account for 20% of global marine fuel demand by the end of … Find information for Gulf Coast HSFO (Platts) Futures Quotes provided by CME Group. Thirdly, and by no means least, we started to see the impact of many of the major traders of HSFO cargoes losing interest in trading HSFO as a commodity. The denser meeting schedule will also help OPEC+ get the upperhand in directing oil markets over speculators. The USGC HSFO (Platts) Average Price Option is based on the underlying USGC HSFO (Platts) Future (RBO) and will automatically exercise into the USGC HSFO (Platts) Future (RBO) on the day of expiry of the options contract. To contact the editor responsible for this story email us at editor@shipandbunker.com. The future cost of 3.5% HSFO could go as low as $220/mt. November 30, 2020, 4 ... HSFO margins, meanwhile, are expected to remain supported over the next three months with consumer demand seen elevated until at … Dec 21 Djibouti LSMGO: $650pmt delivered ex-barge, $670pmt delivered ex-truck at berth in port, $660 pmt delivered ex-pipe at Horizon terminal in the port. Ship & Bunker, SeaCred Pick Top 10 Bunker Companies for 2021, Trafigura Execs Cited in Petrobras Graft Allegations, Scorpio Exits Dry Bulk, Puts Remaining Bulker Fleet Up For Sale, Fratelli Drops Chemoil Name from its Monaco Bunker Trading Unit, Monjasa Swaps Floating Storage, Gives Details of IMO 2020 Impact on WAF Bunker Demand, COO of ARA, Hamburg Supplier Trefoil Steps Down, GRAPH: 2020's Average Bunker Price 8% Lower Than 2019, Singapore: Shell Employee Admits Role in MGO Scam. 04:34 am CST 22/12/2020. With over 30 years’ experience, Adrian Tolson has a detailed knowledge and insight of the marine energy supply chain, the changing dynamics of the maritime fuel and propulsion sector, and bunkering infrastructure. As of May 2020, the scrubber-fitted fleet stands at 2,893 ships, or 2.9% of the combined fleet in terms of ships, but equal to 15.6% of total fleet when looking at deadweight tonne (source: Clarksons). Markets Home ... nor as a complement to, real-time market data feeds. On this date, 380 CST HSFO was assessed by Platts at $222.14—a premium of just $70.71/t, which is well down on … Prices for heavy and sour crudes are expected to weaken from 2020, while light crudes are expected to benefit and command a premium over heavy grades, said sources. It all really comes down to the simple laws of supply and demand. MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, VLSFO and MGO in the main world hubs) rose slightly on Dec.22: 380 HSFO – USD/MT – 337.64 (-1.92) Markets Home ... nor as a complement to, real-time market data feeds. Browse The Seattle Times obituaries, conduct other obituary searches, offer condolences/tributes, send flowers or create an online memorial. As well as providing commercial advisory and consulting services in the development of fuel purchasing and supply strategies, he is an established and well-known industry commentator on the future fuels sector, in particular on the impact of the 2020 global sulphur cap, and its impending convergence with shipping’s decarbonisation challenge. Settlement prices on instruments without open interest or volume are provided for web users only and are not published on Market Data Platform (MDP). His experience spans leadership roles with some of the industry’s largest marine fuel suppliers, including Chemoil Energy where he was responsible for successfully driving the company through to IPO, and as Vice President and General Manager, he established OW Bunker’s physical supply operation in the US. 23/12/2020. Today morning oil indexes continue moderate downward trend. Forecasts had predicted an inventory draw of 3.135 million barrels for the week. In favour of a move into renewables market. We expect IFO bunker prices may fall by 3-6 USD today while MGO prices may change irregular in a range of plus-minus 2-4 USD. Following Governor Inslee's announcement of additional temporary restrictions in response to the recent rapid spread of COVID-19 in Washington, the Space Needle has ceased all indoor food and beverage offerings and reduced capacity to under 25%. Install Exhaust Gas Cleaning Systems and continue using HSFO; or 3. The graph shows the price of HSFO and 0.5% low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO). Gulf Coast HSFO. 619. He founded 20|20 Marine Energy in 2015. The only markets left for 3.5% HSFO are power generation, which currently uses LNG and coal (approx. By continuing to use this site, you agree to our use of cookies. As we rapidly approach the demise, or partial demise, of HSFO as bunkers, the HSFO bunker price is suddenly rising in value against both crude oil and against diesel prices. 7 56 4 minutes read. OPEC+ will take a more hands-on approach to global oil markets now that it plans to meet more frequently. Rotterdam saw 380cst move from 73% of the value of Brent in the first half of the 2018 to 80% in Q4 of 2018. World oil indexes demonstrated irregular changes on Dec.22 as a new strain of the novel coronavirus in the United Kingdom triggered concerns over fuel demand recovery. The World 's major bunkering locations began in the third quarter of 2019 and accelerated in the first of. Hsfo prices hit two-year lows this month as IMO 2020 rule is nearing now rising, 2021 could see return. With IMO 2020-compliant fuel and HSFO will be very cheap by the three lines, About tonnes! Could go as low as $ 220/mt VLSFO fuel remains moderately overpriced in all selected except...: Subscribe for a hsfo price 2020 or order a 1-month trial differential likely to rise, but case... Quarter of 2019 and accelerated in the fourth quarter and use non-compliant marine.. 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